politics
4/6/2026
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Farage's Reform Slumps in Polls as UK Politics Faces Three-Way Tie

Farage's Reform Slumps in Polls as UK Politics Faces Three-Way Tie
AI-Generated Summary

Nigel Farage's Reform UK is facing a significant slump in support with barely a month to go until crucial elections across the UK. Multiple polls, including one from Lord Ashcroft, reveal an unprecedented three-way tie, placing the Conservatives, Reform, and the Greens at 21% each, signalling a dramatic fragmentation of the political landscape and leaving Labour trailing at 17%. This stagnation represents a major blow for Farage, whose party had enjoyed considerable momentum over the past year. The decline is particularly pronounced in Scotland, where support for Reform has plummeted to its lowest level in over a year ahead of the Holyrood election. Analysts have described the party's campaign start as 'chaotic' and 'disastrous', with a Norstat poll showing the party slumping to third place behind the SNP and Labour. This drop is seen as 'bad news' for the SNP, which had potentially hoped for a split in the unionist vote to aid its own majority hopes. Concurrently, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch has seen a significant boost in her personal popularity, surpassing Nigel Farage in approval ratings to become the most popular party leader. This shift in voter sentiment, with Badenoch now characterised as a 'straight-talker', poses a critical question of whether the right-of-centre vote will unite behind the Tories to prevent what some sources term a 'coalition of chaos' involving the Greens and other parties.

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Sources

Reform UK Polling Slumps Amid Nigel Farage Challenges | HuffPost UK Politics

www.huffingtonpost.co.uk
50%

The party's popularity seems to be falling at just the wrong time.

Kemi Badenoch and Nigel Farage neck and neck: Poll reveals unprecedented three-way tie between the Tories, Reform and Greens... will the Right unite to save us from a coalition of chaos? | Daily Mail Online

www.dailymail.co.uk
50%

The poll (pictured), which was conducted by former Conservative deputy chairman Lord Ashcroft, puts the three parties on 21 per cent each.

Reform UK support in Scotland dropping is 'bad news' for SNP hopes of winning a majority - Daily Record

www.dailyrecord.co.uk
50%

A sharp dip in support for Reform UK with just five weeks until the Holyrood election is "bad news" for the SNP, the country's leading pollster has said.

Blow For Nigel Farage As Reform UK Slump In New Election Polling - Yahoo News UK

uk.news.yahoo.com
50%

Support for Reform UK has slumped with barely a month to go until crucial elections across the country. In a major blow for Nigel Farage, two new opinion polls suggest the momentum the right-wing party has enjoyed over the last year is stalling.

Poll Reveals Unprecedented Three-Way Tie Between Reform, Tories and Greens - British Brief

britbrief.co.uk
50%

Lord Ashcroft's latest polling reveals an unprecedented three-way tie between Reform UK, the Conservatives and the Greens, with insights into shifting voter sentiment and party dynamics.

Reform UK support in Scotland slumps to lowest in a year, poll shows | The National

thenational.scot
50%

SUPPORT for Reform UK has declined for the first time in a Holyrood poll weeks out from the election following a chaotic start to their campaign. Nigel Farage's party have slumped to third place behind the SNP and Labour in the constituency and regional vote in a Norstat poll carried out for ...

'Straight-talker' Kemi is now most popular party leader, poll reveals as she surpasses Nigel Farage in approval ratings | Daily Mail Online

www.dailymail.co.uk
50%

The Conservative leader has seen a significant boost to her popularity in recent months, surpassing Reform UK leader Nigel Farage in approval ratings.

Badenoch Overhauls Farage's Poll Lead as Tories, Reform and Greens Tie - British Brief

britbrief.co.uk
50%

A new poll shows Conservatives, Reform UK and Greens tied at 21%, with Labour trailing at 17%, signalling unprecedented political fragmentation ahead of local elections.

Poll: Reform support plummets after 'disastrous' start to Holyrood election campaign

heraldscotland.com
50%

Support for Reform UK in Scotland has plummeted to its lowest level in more than a year after a poor start to the party’s Holyrood campaign, a new…

Voting poll puts Green Party JOINT TOP for the first time

thelondoneconomic.com
50%

Blimey. As per Lord Ashcroft Polling, the Green Party is now level with Reform - and the Tories - at the top of the tree.

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